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which oil company should i invest in now?
drymartini 10-09-2008, 7:04 PM | Post #2574528 |  8 Replies
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I went through M* reports of XOM, COP, BP, CVX. (only interested in integrated oil).

M* recommends XOM (best financial shape, best roi, increasing div). My judgement says the same.

but the "greedy dividend whore" in me wants BP. Thats a 7% juicy yield. also Shell is like 6.x % juicy yield. XOM has the lowest yield.

I know its the stupidity in me that chases yield at the expense of quality, but need a second opinion. 

XOM peg is close to 1. Conoco peg is like .4. Thats cheap (for a reason ??).

cant make up my mind here :)

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Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
MoMan1 10-09-2008, 7:15 PM | Post #2574533
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I am sitting on BP for the dividend and getting killed. down $20! :( I keep telling myself to keep it for the dividend. I do believe it's one of the best dividend plays in the oil biz. I am not sure how much the PEG ratio helps because the growth rates could change drastically in the future as oil slides???? good luck.
Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
EagleTed 10-10-2008, 4:50 AM | Post #2574729
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Got a GTC order on XOM, it's a company I owned for many years until I sold last year. I trust it's management to treat stockholders right.
Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
alantom 10-10-2008, 5:17 AM | Post #2574736
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I've held XOM for a quite a while, and it seems to be holding up better than other major integrated oil companies in the last several months, though it too has been dropping dramatically in recent days.  I'm staying with XOM, and am not very focused on dividend but rather on overall financial condition. 

I suspect  you could sleep better an night if you bought XOM.  If you really want to focus on dividend and can take risk, look at LGCY, a Master Limited Partnership, which has dropped to the point that it is giving over 17% return!  This is crazy.  The question with LGCY is how much capital that company might need.

The difficulty with the current climate is that there is total panic and real trouble with liquidity; we've got to be close to the bottom, but its not clear how long it will be before some people return to equities, even solid companies like XOM.  So we may sit at current levels of stocks for a while.  Under that condition, very strong companies such as XOM may be among the first to attract attention on the eventual road back up.

Alan

Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
drymartini 10-10-2008, 11:39 AM | Post #2574973
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thank you for the feedback. xom it is. M* says BP has more risk than xom and shell. oh well.. better stick with #1 here.
Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
justin 10-10-2008, 7:41 PM | Post #2575284
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Hi Dry,

I have XOM & CVX.  I just added RDS.A yesterday and already under water after today.

Keeping my fingers crossed.

Justin

Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
RobPulliam 10-11-2008, 5:09 AM | Post #2575448
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I also think RIG (and possibly DO) have been getting considerably cheap lately as oil falls.  There's no dividend, but I think it's very solid with all there backlogs on orders/contracts.  Despite the fact I'm down 30% I'm going to keep buying as it goes down.
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Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
GardenGirl 10-11-2008, 5:35 AM | Post #2575456
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At the bottom of this link is a little diddy about Joe Kennedy and the shoe-shine boys.  It says that if you are taking stock tips from the shoe-shine boy, it's time to sell.

I am the consumate shoe-shine boy, and I offer something for your consideration.  I do hope you all get rich.

http://www.ourclimate.net/invest.htm

 

GG

Re: which oil company should i invest in now?
EagleTed 10-12-2008, 8:49 AM | Post #2576090
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The opposite of that, GG, when the shoeshine boy tells you it's time to sell, it's probably time to buy.

And BTW, I think Jim Cramer, etal are the highest paid shoeshine boys in the history of the world. Great advice in momentum plays when the market's on an upswing, lost when it's at or near a bottom.

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