Well, I've been racking my brain about the same thing.. Which Sectors, Funds, even which stocks, use Options, Puts, Calls to hanging out on Cramer and Fast Money Shows...LOL
I think A "Ton" of $ has already been made...ie: Those who know how to Play Options on both sides ot the fence..ie: Buy it short for going down and Long for when it recovers..and I think most of the Down side has happened and now , the upside hopefully happens and those people are inline to make more than God and the # of Million and Multi-Millionaires in Next Yrs Forbes List will probably double or Triple!
And Maybe McCain is really taking a Break to go Home to make a few More Milliion with his Wifes Money? LOL
If this bail out goes thru Properly? Me thinks that there will be some banks and Financials in general that stand to gain, Big Time! For Any co. that can dump it's Loosers and keep only it's winners will... But Who and How to play them? BTHOM!
Buying Financial Funds? maybe.. Adam Bold advocated this..
I'm also looking at Who did the Best the last few Times around a recovery Yr and funds like: BRUFX,CGMFX,CGMRX,FBRVX,FLVCX and a few others..
Also Looking for their 3rd Qtr reports and latest List of stocks they are into ( and have reduced ) as another Hint..
another is Using Indexes of Both ETF's and The Reg. One's
The Best for 03'? That I have on my List is : Small caps, Int'l and Reits
Balanced funds? FBALX, LAALX and WMMRX/WMRIX might be the best of the rest?
then Come the other more Conservative one's of FPACX, PRWCX,OAKBX, then bringing up the rear was PRPFX.
and I would think that All these Alledged Super Gains will be short Lived..maybe 3-4 mos? thus Do you Sell when they Peak? and then what do you do with that $? Add it toy our Reg. Balanced Port. of funds? Or do you roll the dice an let it ride? Figure out a Whole new Portfolio for the future?
Then there is the Bigger issue? How much $ in regards to it's % to your Total $ do you (a) Have to invest and (b) are Willing to Risk? and Is it really going to be worth it?
Putting it in Perspective: The way i look at it ?
For if your Only going to use say equal to 10%? Why bother? Unless it's like $500k or More...for after taxes ( 28%) what's it going to be worth in relation to the rest of your Port? How much of a Impact will it really have over-all? Was it worth the Risk?
Going to use & GAMBLE $100k? And you make 50%? Wow! Super Huh? But, if you sell it and have to pay 28% CG Tx's? What's it Net worth? = $36,000 and you have a $300k Total Port? It's only worth about a 12% Impact! Big deal! $36,000 at making 8% a yr after that is woirth How much NET ? $2,880 - 21% Reg. Taxes = $2,275 yr! Whoppie do!
Vs Let's say you screw up and Loose 50%? You now lost $50,000 = to about 17% of your Lifetime savings forever! adn will have to work an extra Year or 2 to make it back ? At 40 hr wk job? 2-4,000 hours for Being GREEDY! LOL and what would the Wife say and do if you lost that kind of $? since in theri minds , it's HER Retirement $! For it isn't yours! Since any $ you make is Her's and the Kids, Not yours! LOL
And now we can't play in our shorts...(sic) We can't short stocks like Financials and stocks like GGP and others? Bummer.. Can we play them Long? Sure, butt what if GGP goes Belly Up? Will that Stock be covered in the Bail Out? If not? Then your SOL.
Energy? Some say it will go up and end up about $130's by End of the Yr? .. So, play it Long? Ok, it picks up about 25% btwn now and then? But, Better bet with some high 6 figures to make that worthwhile (and again after 28% taxes) Or Know how to play the Margin and Options game.
and I doubt your going to find very many willing to share, since would you want too? before you do it? Maybe a month after... How often do you allow others to step In Line ahead of you at Starbucks? Grocery Line? Waiting to go to the bathroom?
However, You can go rush to the NY times, Business section , on the Top 10 Best Books for Investing Top Seller lists, then Go to Amazon, order them, wait the few days to get them and read your Brains out in a Crash Course..( like in College Days) and You Might find a few ideas in them.....
Remember the old saying? > Be Prepared !
eg: Prepared on what to do when market Crashes, Goes Up, what funds/stocks to buy, Options to play, etc.. What to do When your Fund Does a Hard Close, What funds to use to replace it? When the Fund Mgr. gets Indicted, The Mgr. Dies? having emergency procedures in place! So much to Do and so little time to do it...Oh My!
I've been thru some situations like these and others, and Just Decided that If I don't have a Plan already figured out, Gone over it several times before? Foreget about it!
Others might want to rush out to their Nearest Broker service and give them a suitcase of $ and tell them to Make as Much as you can with it...!
Me? I Just invest whatever $ I want to gamble in the Funds/stocks you already have and proven faith in and settle for whatever they do..
And Live in Denial. & .Don't Look at all those other's that made 50% or more! "if I just had done this or that... If I had bought $100k into the PRO-FUNDS Short S&P 500 ETF Index fund? Could of Made 37% ? 50%? how'd you feel missing out on all the Tech's in 97-99? Some funds made 300% and some stocks made 3,000%! and some who played Options made 3,000 X their Money! and some are still Lving in the Islands and are bored out of their brains, with nothing to do... ( I feel so sorry for them, don't you ? )
I like being "Long Term Greedy" , Since Short Term Didn't work out too well for me.