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what if Ned retires?
roweyourboat 09-04-2008, 1:36 PM | Post #2557848 |  5 Replies
2  

Hi all,

I'm a bit of a newbie to investing with a preference for one-stop shopping. I have put money into both TRRCX and TRSGX. I really like TRSGX, and feel confident that it could suit my needs for many years to come, but I have this worry (weird, perhaps, and silly) that this fund is as good as it is because of Ned Notzon. I worry about what might happen to these Personal Strategy funds when he retires. Is there another talented manager on deck? Does the team approach insure that the Personal Strategy funds will continue to do well even without NN?

 Just curious....

 Thanks!

 

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Re: what if Ned retires?
lornadoone 09-05-2008, 10:27 AM | Post #2558250
0  

Welcome--

I'm a bit of a newbie to investing with a preference for one-stop shopping.

By choosing the moniker "Roweyourboat", you have declared which "one-stop" you plan to use.  Great!  It will be good to have your questions and viewpoints as you learn.

As a newbie, you are entitled to a plate of non-fattening, non-allergenic cookies and a mug of Hetty's Happy Coffee.  You will have to tell us about your preference in cookies.

Now, about your question--   Does the team approach insure that the Personal Strategy funds will continue to do well even without NN?

In investing, nothing insures that a fund will do well.  I confess that I know little (almost nothing) about the team behind NN.  What have you learned about them?  Maybe some other readers of the forum will share their viewpoints.

Here's mine -- I think that Roweyourboat has opened up the broader question of how to react when a talented manager leaves.  This does happen, after all, even at a firm like TRP that values stability.  I would really like to hear what everyone has to say about it.

Lorna

  

Re: what if Ned retires?
HettyGreen 09-05-2008, 11:16 AM | Post #2558273
1  

Hi, roweyourboat, and welcome to the TRPeepz.  Love your handle!  Do you prefer Happy Coffee in regular or decaff?

Miss Lorna brings up an excellent point, as always:  when a talented manager leaves, what happens to the fund?  From my experience with TRP over the years, I've found that, at least for the particular funds I hold and have held, it hasn't been that big of a difference.  TRP seems to have a sound "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" philosophy.  

As far as the Personal Strategy Funds go, one of the reasons I like them is that you have the same core concepts of investing, simply with a different asset allocation in each.  At some stage of your life, Growth could be the best.  As you near retirement, moving to Balanced is a better choice for many.  During Retirement, a period of life getting longer and longer,  in order to keep some growth along with income, the Income offering could be a solid selection.

My semi-educated guess is that down the road, we could see some tweaks (hopefully GOOD tweaks) in the Strategy family yet the fundamentals will remain the same.

Kinda like Lorna's Wonder Cookies and my Happy Coffee recipes...

;)

Hetty

 

http://sixuntilme.com/blog-mt2/blog_images/2008March/happy_coffee_kerri_sum.jpg

Re: what if Ned retires?
StarHBre 09-05-2008, 3:55 PM | Post #2558360
1  

Lorna, Hetty, & Roweyourboat,

It seems like we had this same discussion last year about PRWCX.  The investors that bailed on PRWCX are probably second guessing themselves right now.  I would think that PRWCX would be more vulnerable to Manager risk than one of the Personal Strategy or Retirement funds.  

One of the reasons I like TRP is because whether it is a team managed fund like the Personal Strategy funds or has a one manager like PRXCX, TRP has a deep support staff behind all of their fund managers. Ususally most managers are groomed for years before they are allowed to fly solo.

This lessens manager risk and makes manager transitions very smooth. Even the best and largest fund families including TRP have poor performers, but for the most part TRP has had great success in manager transitions and quality control. 

If these funds fit your investment strategy, I would ride them until they prove themselves unfit.

helmut

Re: what if Ned retires?
roweyourboat 09-05-2008, 9:19 PM | Post #2558479
1  

Thanks everyone! I feel more confident now in my T. Rowe picks. I'm thinking of looking into some combination of the Spectrum funds too. The more I look at different T. Rowe funds and combinations and try to decide which might be right for me, it seems like an embarrassment of riches: so many of the funds look strong, so many choices one could make, and all would probably be equally good. My biggest challenge may be resisting the inclination to tinker and second guess too much!

 

Re: what if Ned retires?
lornadoone 09-06-2008, 9:46 AM | Post #2558589
0  

My biggest challenge may be resisting the inclination to tinker and second guess too much!

Whenever the urge to "tinker and second guess" starts to overcome you, lie down in a quiet place and take deep breaths, or go for a long walk, or pick up a page-turner mystery, or call a friend, or . . .

You have probably already read articles about the fact that "tinkerers" end up worse off than they would have been if they had left things alone.  Now that I think about it, maybr this forum (and similar ones) is partly a support group for recoverng "tinkerers" who have seen the error of their ways.

so many choices one could make, and all would probably be equally good.  

A caveat about this:  It is hard for me to imagine that all of the choices would be equally good for you.  You have obviously already done some thinking about this, so keep your own goals in mind.  Remember, even the marvelous, intelligent, informative, kind-hearted, good-looking contributors to this forum have different life situations than you do. 

Best wishes,  Lorna

 

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