Re to kerryvan..posts
Well, maybe not guy..> and I maybe wrong , but it hasn't been the case with my $..
>"You lose more money by not being in the market on the up days than you lose on the down days. If you miss the initial fall and the initial rise, you have just taken a loss that is difficult to overcome. eg; per $100k: Market drops -2% = - $2,000, now your down to $98k. Goes back up + 2% = $1,960 your still down.
Yrs 2000-02' via S&P500 Index per $1,000?
by end of 02'? Down to $625 ( -$375 = - 37.5% )
How long did it take to get even? The following 4 yrs! and the S&P totaled up 60% in total gains..over those next 4 yrs..(+15% ave)
And didn't low life BONDS Beat The S&P for the past 8 & 10 yrs now? let alone the likes of LSBRX....( +10% & 9% apy's)
> " If the big boys can't pick them with their staff, how can a single person beat them. "
Re; Simple > Index Mgrs have one hand tied behind their back..they have to stick to certain % allocations, asset classes and caps in the Indexes of the markets while Active Fund Mgrs. don't.. Eg; CGMFX, CGMRX, FAIRX, FLVCX just to name a few..
As for using 3 yr apy's? I guess so, but I use 8 yr apy's.. and getting an ave of 22, 27,32,& 35% apy's on my funds is better me thinks for 8 yrs than a short term 3 or 5 for that matter. So, how did those +25% apy Funds do in the last Bear market Yrs?
But, if your a Shorter term player.. 25% is a Good Thing..too..
So, its the same old story...IAD..(ItAllDepends)