LMVTX is now underperforming the S&P 500 for the trailing 1, 3, 5, and 10 year periods. Bill Miller had a streak of consistently beating the S&P 500 every year from 1991 to 2005. Looking back to 1991, his outperformance against the index in the early years was quite modest. So it probably won't take a much bigger decline to completely wipe out the fund's cumulative edge against the S&P 500 since the beginning of the streak. I'm sure the media will have a field day with that.
This is a good lesson about how short-term fluctuations can dramatically alter long-term trailing return numbers. For a high-volatility fund, it doesn't take much to turn a spectacular long-term record completely on its head. It's something to consider when investing in focused funds or aggressive funds.
Best,
Oildog