Erryl, you've made some of my own points why a high cost of energy
leads to a rise in food prices. The USDA had another. That
the countries with large foreign exchange reserves (many are oil
exporters) are buying up food in excess of their needs. Simply
because they are concerned about food security and have the money to
throw out even at record prices.
erryl:greater farm efficiency will lower the cost of food over time... most
of the world has plenty of room to increase efficiency (though I hope
that they all don't choose to do it with genetically modified food,
like the US)
The
USDA report argues that there has NOT been much R&D in improving
crop efficiency. They say that world governments have become
complacent due to the stable food supply in past decades, so they
haven't put up much R&D money. And the private sector has
concentrated more on reducing costs than improving yields. I was
surprised to read this, but the USDA is the expert, so I'll defer to
them. That's not to say crop efficiencies won't improve in the
FUTURE. They undoubtedly will now that the world knows their food
security is at risk.