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Re: DXCTX for "New Era" MasterPlan  07-05-2008, 8:06 PM | Post #2535877
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Aalan88:

Commodity prices are global, not national.

 

Definitely agree.

 

I came across an article that lists some reasons for high global food prices.  It's not a complete list and you'd do better getting the USDA's report on food prices.  But it's worth mentioning that biofuels is only one of many factors.  Here are the factors mentioned:



-- High energy and fertilizer prices

-- Declining US dollar

-- Drought in big producing countries including Australia

-- Rising demand from fast-growing economies such as China and India

-- High oil prices that have pushed up production costs

-- Dwindling stocks

-- Rising investment inflows in food commodity futures markets and hedge fund activity

-- The big push in biofuels programs that has diverted land and crops from food production.

-- Export restrictions imposed by countries including India and China on rice, and by Argentina, Kazakhstan and Russia on wheat, which have cut international supplies

-- Actions by large rice importers, such as the Philippines, in floating large tenders to obtain needed rice imports, which have boosted prices.


Note that except for China/India, the above factors are relatively recent - within the past few years.   

 

And many of these factors are likely to continue.  E.g., the declining dollar, the defensive policies in both exporting and importing countries, the bad weather (due to global climate change), etc. etc.

 

And there are long-term supply/demand factors also putting a bid under the price. 

 

For anyone wanting more detail, Google on the USDA's report called  "Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices".  That should get you the PDF link.

Topics China climate change futures market oil prices US dollar View Complete Thread
 
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