I have a concern about the ProShares Ultra-short funds; I hope someone here can offer some guidance.
FXI is the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China Index fund; FXP is the double-short tracking the same index. When I looked at the two charts side-by-side, I was alarmed.
FXI bottoms March 20 at 120, peaks May 2 at 165, and has since returned almost to its low point, at 123.50 on July 3, for a net gain of 3%.
FXP peaks ithe same day at 122, and falls to 59 on May 2; on July 3 it peaked at 95. That's a net loss, peak to peak, of--22%! Way more than double the inverse.
In fact, on July 3 alone, FXI was up only 0.14%, while FXP was down 0.74%.
Now I understand that some tracking error is inevitable, but when the down side out-leverages the up side by a factor of 3 or more, that's not my idea of tracking error; that's a serious downside bias. Now I'm afraid that even a small rally in China could wipe me out; and I wonder about all my short funds, too.
Can someone explain this?
And just as a small aside:
erryl: Thanks, DI... for bringing up long-short funds ...
I would also like to thank DI, again, for his illuminating comments; but actually "bringing up" the long/short funds seems to have been my own modest contribution : Post #2535319
--Aalan