Well, good luck with that, Gordon. You don't say how you are calculating that, so let me guess.

The local and national papers are all full of Bear Market! headlines, to make investors nervous. In theory, that might stimulate a contrarian rally.  But sometimes, the real world interferes with theory.  Bloomberg has just reported that oil is up again in weekend trading.  On top of that, there's more news of Bush sabre-rattling about Iran. Therefore--I see panic selling Monday, and I'm going to double my shorts in the pre-market session.  Then I'll pick up a couple of stocks I like in the dip.

There will be a big rally when oil falls, not before. That will happen when some big hedge-fund manager has a spiritual epiphany and decides that trading oil futures is demonic, thus unwinding the bubble's momentum. Unfortunately, such events can't be predicted. 

On second thought, maybe I should emulate Gordon, and say nothing about how I reach my conclusions. :-)