EagleTed:If you don't like the CPI numbers, see what the market is pricing government bonds and you'll get a fair idea of what the inflation rate is.
You'd think, but no ;) bond rates are political, basically determined by a handful of central banks and other large bondholders, think china/japan/abu dhabi. So they're gonna be whatever those guys can stomach - and apparently, for whatever reasons I don't understand completely (leverage? building out export-oriented industries?) they have been willing to stomach a large negative real rate of return.
EagleTed:Don't like that, look at 30 year mortgage rates. Banks stay in business by staying ahead of inflation.
But bank officers/employees make money by issuing loans (=bonuses/commissions etc), which is why banks don't tend to stay in business without help ;)
EagleTed:Don't like that, keep good records and see how your cost of subsistence has risen/fallen. Don't include any luxury items. And adjust for seasonal use of energy, etc.
Yup, done that, 8% avg for the past 10yrs. ymmv.