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"A Cloudy Forecast For Commercial Market" - a NYT article raywax  12-02-2007, 11:33 AM | Post #2461399  | 
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The subject title is the title of an article in the Business Section's Spotlight column of today's NYT.  The article may be found at this Link. It is well worth reading if you have an investment in the REA. It is about the "Emerging Trends in Real Estate report by PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Urban Land Institute, which interviewed more than 600 developers, services firms and investors over the summer."

Here are a few excerpts that indicate the nature of the article:

The 29th annual survey, which was released last month, reflected the confusion that engulfed the industry as problems with mortgages were unfolding. Even though the commercial sector was faring better than housing, the biggest concerns for the respondents were economic: job growth, construction costs, interest rate changes, income and wage growth, and inflation. And not surprisingly, 78 percent said they expected underwriting standards for commercial and multifamily mortgages to be more stringent in 2008, compared with 70 percent surveyed last year and just 37 percent in 2005.

More recent indicators underscore the concern, as the problems plaguing the residential market have spread to the commercial sector and the broader economy.

Some material omitted

But despite the unease, “there is still optimism out there,” said Susan Smith, a manager in PricewaterhouseCoopers’ Real Estate Business Advisory Services group in New York and an adviser on the report. “There are opportunities across all sectors,” she said.

Although the overall commercial real estate market is likely to soften, the respondents said they expected certain regions to outperform others. The so-called global gateway cities like New York, Washington, San Francisco, Los Angeles and Boston have become magnets for employers, residents and investors, according to the report. “Especially during times of uncertainty, this is where investors want to be,” Ms. Smith said.

My hat is off to BobU!

Ray 

 

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