Hi Randy,
I thought I had responded to you. I try to respond to every email I receive, but I've been out for a bit on paternity leave, so I may have missed it.
While we're working on building the options research staff, I've been working with our programmers on the options chains (among other things). There have been beta versions of some new features up for months, and once we get things polished up, I'll write some articles explaining their use. I'd love to hear everyone's feedback, and requests for additional features.
We don't plan to continually track every
investment we propose, but here's the scoop on the DEO investment.
The article is still in the archive accessed from the
options tab. If you go to the
"more" link below the current list of articles, you'll find the DEO
article at the top of the list. The
analyst is no longer with Morningstar, so we took the article off the front
page. The investment concept is still valid. At the time it was written, the numbers were:
Diageo: Sell Bullish
Stock Price
$77.38
Option
Write Jan 09 put
Strike
$80.00
Premium
$8.30
Cash Required
$71.70
Expected 221-Day Return
12.60%
Expected Annualized Return
21.70%
Expected 3.6-Year Ret if Assigned
106.20%
Expected Annualized Return if Assigned
22.22%
The current data on the put is:
The put currently trades for bid $9.30 ask $10, and the
stock price is at $73.40, down 5% from when the article was written. If you were assigned today, you'd be up $2.20
on your $71.70 of cash, or 17% annualized.
The ask would make the trade a loss to exit today.
The concept is still valid, whether you collect the premium or get the stock put to you. If entering the investment today, I'd
consider writing Jan 09 puts:
Bid Mid Ask
70.00 DEOMN 3.60 3.85 4.10
75.00 DEOMO 5.90 6.20 6.50
Both look attractive.
Phil