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Buying defensive stocks as the economy slows...
mattym 01-02-2008, 8:34 PM | Post #2471917 |  16 Replies
7  
Ive done a great deal of reading on Warren Buffets investment stratagies and trying to invest my best as he does. The one thing my portfolio lacks at this point is a good core of defensive stocks. Stocks I eventually plan to own such as KO, PEP, PG, JNJ, CL are very attractive stocks financially and have great records of ROE and ROA, etc, but at this time are not attractively priced. Im assuming they are near 52 week highs due to the impending "recession" or slow down as investors fly toward safe stocks. With a suppossed slow down coming a Buffet type investor would wait for such stocks to decline in price correct? I have a long investment horizon 30+ years and was basically wondering do I invest now that money is available or wait it out for prices to correct? Looking at the historical prices these stocks have done very well over the last 5+ years or so? Is a correction with these stocks feasible being that they are so financially sound?
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Re: Buying defensive stocks as the economy slows...
23bair 02-28-2008, 3:33 AM | Post #2492306
0  

With a 30 year time horizon trying to time purchases doesn't seem to be necessary in my book.  You need a bit of everything and if your in an IRA or other tax deferred situation you can use dividend reinvestment plans to keep the cash at work.

 

I would get several stocks now:  PG, JNJ, C, BAC, COP, XOM, CL, BRKB, GS.  I would also get some aggressive Vanguard Fund to cover the wilder side of the market for expert investment management which can turn on a dime, e.g. Primecap, etc.  You can add specialized funds in time.

I would leave about 10-15% in cash to take advantage of something which might pop up. 

I would advise reading Jonathan Clements articles regularly.  He appears weekly in the WSJ and on Sunday's in many local papers.  I don't think you need a subscription to read his articles (and prior ones) on the web.

You might also try to join a local investment club.  The best ones have older members and have been around more than 10 years.  Ask your neighbors for leads to the clubs. 

 

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