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The 'Little ETF That Beats the Market'? M*_Jeffrey  03-24-2008, 3:18 PM | Post #2501002 |  4 Replies
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In riffing on another fund, Gratio Value, it occurred to me that no one, to my knowledge, had licensed Joel Greenblatt's 'magic formula' for use in an ETF.

If you're unfamiliar, Greenblatt is a celebrated author--most recently of the best-selling 'Little Book That Beats the Market'--and accomplished investor. He also maintains a companion website, Magic Formula Investing, that allows users to screen firms using on the 'magic formula' that is the focal point of the 'Little Book'. The site has become very popular in investing circles, with many value hounds using it as a cheat-sheet of sorts.

Given that the 'magic formula' is completely formulaic (rank stocks based on earnings yield and returns on invested capital) and transparent (earnings yield and ROIC can be easily calculated), it seems like it would lend itself very nicely to an index. And that index, in turn, could be licensed by an ETF provider.

That doesn't mean such a product would sell, mind you. But Greenblatt has amassed a terrific record over time by employing a strategy very similar to the 'magic formula'. So it's not as if it isn't proven. Also, part of the reason that Greenblatt's approach has caught on is its simplicity and accessibility. Those qualities would likely resonate with ETF investors as well, though selling a book and selling a fund are obviously very different endeavors.

I'm not sure a name like 'SPDR Magic Formula' would pass the sniff test with the regulators. But I'm sure that Greenblatt--who has a flair for the Vaudevillean--would have no trouble coming up with something.

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Re:The 'Little ETF That Beats the Market'? phillips2k 03-25-2008, 8:05 PM | Post #2501559
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I bought the Magic Formula book but did not want to buy a basket of stocks (thats what funds are for),  So I think that an ETF based on the Magic Formula is something I would consider buying (providing it has a low expense ratio).  There have been many ETF's issued that are off the wall so this actually sounds like a sane idea.
Re:The 'Little ETF That Beats the Market'? Funds+ 03-28-2008, 2:08 PM | Post #2502680
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Interesting.  Sounds like a winner.  Any Mutual funds or ETF's that follow a similiar strategy?

Re:Re:The 'Little ETF That Beats the Market'? M*_Jeffrey 03-28-2008, 2:29 PM | Post #2502686
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Well, there's a newish fund, Gratio Value, which I profiled in another posting, that's essentially using an approach that's nearly identical to the magic formula. But I ragged on it for charging too much for the pleasure.

To my knowledge, there's no mutual fund that uses a quantitatively driven approach similar to the magic formula. Granted, there are managers like Bill Miller, Wally Weitz, Bruce Berkowitz, Chris Davis, et al who pay lots of attention to returns on invested capital and valuations. But their approach isn't strictly quantitative.

Regards,

Jeff Ptak

Morningstar, Inc.

quant funds clearlyseen 04-30-2008, 10:07 AM | Post #2513205
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I think there are many quantitative mutual funds.  One that publishes its "magic formula" is Hennessy Cornerstone Growth (HFCGX).  This fund did very well from 2001 through 2003, beating the Mid-Cap Blend category by 15%, 12%, and 10%.  But it has done poorly recently, trailing its category by 4% in 2006, 7% in 2007, and 8% so far in 2008.

This mutual fund is based on the formula O'Shaughnessy developed, as discussed in the following article:
What's Working on Wall Street 
Jim O'Shaughnessy's mechanical strategies come back from the dead.
http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?&_qsbpa=y 

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