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 We
saw weakness early in the week and a bounce at the end, but stocks
overall have fallen from their moderately overbought levels (top chart)
and have stalled out in terms of new 65-day highs versus lows (middle
chart). Even after Friday's bounce, we only had about 400 stocks making
fresh 20-day highs against a similar number of new 20-day lows. By
contrast, we had over 2000 new 20-day highs on August 11th. We see how
the broad NYSE market has been range bound since the bounce from the
mid-July lows (bottom chart; credit to Decision Point), with only tepid strength in the advance-decline line specific to NYSE common stocks.
This
fits with the money flow and sector data that I recently posted,
indicating that fresh funds have not been flowing into stocks. Nothing
has changed from my last update,
suggesting that what we've been seeing has been a bounce in a bear
market, not the start of a fresh bull leg. I will be watching the
indicators closely for possible divergences on any tests of the recent
market highs.
Originally posted at: http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/
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