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2004 BOGLEHEAD CONTEST REGISTRATION
Taylor Larimore 01-04-2004, 8:46 PM | Post #100732 | 
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Hi Diehards:
Last year our contest winner was Daniel (username: dalevitt) who correctly forecast that the S&P Index would end the year at 1112 (less than 8% of our contestants guessed how high the market would go). Ralph Arvesen's Temporary Webpage shows everyone's final position.

We have these twelve Wall Street "expert" forecasts for the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2004:

1300 Edward Yardeni, Prudential
1250 Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs
1200 Brian Belski, Piper Jaffray
1180 Stuart Freeman, A.G.Edwards
1160 Thomas McManus, Banc of America
1150 Chip Dickson, Lehman Brothers
1150 Gary Gordon, UBS
1150 Hugh Johnson, First Albany
1125 Steve Galbraith, Morgan Stanley
1120 Abhijit Chakrabortti, J.P.Morgan
1025 Tobias Levkovich, Smith Barney
0890 Richard Bernstein, Merrill Lynch

Here are the rules for this year's contest to guess the closing price of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2004:

Only one guess (no percentages)
In event of ties, the first guess wins.
Contest closes midnight January 15.
Winner must post their winning number on the Diehard Forum by January 10, 2004--otherwise the runner-up will be selected.

The prize is an autographed book by our mentor, Jack Bogle.

Best wishes.
Taylor

Originally posted in thread: 32093
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